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Indigenous Peoples and Indicators

Establishing trends in ATSIC regional council populations using census data: a cautionary note

Document: Discussion Paper

Section 94(1) of the Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Act 1989 requires regional councils to 'formulate and revise from time to time a regional plan for improving the economic, social and cultural status of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander residents of the region'. Guidelines for the preparation of such regional plans require that councils compile a data base on the demographic composition of their council area and to consider how various social indicators may differ in the future, say in the next five years.

Patterns and trends in the spatial diffusion of the Torres Strait Islander population

Document: Discussion Paper

Until World War 2, Torres Strait Islanders were restricted in their distribution to the Torres Strait. Since that time, migration to the Australian mainland has contributed to a significant redistribution with the majority of Torres Strait Islanders now resident in the major cities of eastern Australia.

Employment implications of the growth of the Indigenous Australian working-age population to 2001

Document: Discussion Paper

This paper has been specifically prepared as a submission to the review of the Aboriginal Employment Development Policy (AEDP) which is to be completed early in 1994. A critical innovative feature of the Commonwealth Government's AEDP, launched in 1986-87, is its overarching goal of attaining statistical employment equality between Indigenous and non-Indigenous Australians by the year 2000. This paper examines the nature of labour force planning and goal setting in the AEDP Statement.

Estimating Indigenous Australian employment in the private sector

Document: Discussion Paper

Impetus for attempting to delineate 'real' private sector employment derived from concerns regarding the shortcomings of data on this issue identified by the review of the Aboriginal Employment Development Policy (AEDP). In seeking to address these concerns, private sector employment is defined here as consisting of activities that do not depend primarily on government funding for their existence.

The explosion of aboriginality: components of Indigenous population growth 1991-96

Document: Discussion Paper

The aim of this paper is to set out what can be determined about the three essential components of Aboriginal population growth in the 1991-96 period, and then examine, if any, the characteristics of the residual 'identification change'.

Changing numbers, changing needs? A preliminary assessment of Indigenous population growth, 1991-96

Document: Discussion Paper

At the 1996 Census, a total of 352,970 individuals self-identified as Indigenous Australian. This represented an increase of 87,599 or 33 per cent since 1991, an increase which was way above expectation. As a consequence, demographic analysis has returned to the familiar condition of uncertainty about intercensal projections. This raises two questions of fundamental policy interest:

Growth of the Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population, 1991-2001 and beyond

Document: Discussion Paper

The immediate aim of this paper is to describe the growth path of the Indigenous population during the period 1991-2001 and beyond. While it is possible to do this, it must be emphasised at the outset that the sizes of the Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander populations remain unknown. Estimates in this paper are relative to the population size estimated by the 1996 Census.

Components of Indigenous population growth

Determinants of employment and labour force participation: A cohort analysis of Indigenous and non-Indigenous Australians, 1986-96

Document: Discussion Paper

Data from the 1986, 1991 and 1996 Censuses is used to conduct a cohort analysis of the probability of employment and participating in the labour force for Indigenous and non-Indigenous males and females. Single-year age cohorts are used in the first ever longitudinal regression analysis of Indigenous labour force status.

Anangu population dynamics and future growth in Uluru-Kata Tjuta National Park

Document: Discussion Paper

The population of Mutitjulu has grown substantially and at a rate above the regional average since the community was established in 1985. There have been several counts of the population since then, and five of these are presented in sequence to chart the growth in numbers. Overall, they indicate an increase in the usually resident population from 140 in 1986 to 385 in 2000. This represents an annual rate of growth of 12.5 per cent, which is far above the rate of 3.1 per cent per annum recorded for the wider central Australian region.

Population futures in the Australian desert, 2001-2016

Document: Discussion Paper

A proposal to establish a Desert Knowledge Cooperative Research Centre (CRC), focused on Alice Springs, has recently been submitted. Fundamental to any such proposal is an understanding of population dynamics in the desert region, because demographic information provides for assessment of the quantum of need in social and economic policy, and for assessment of the impact of that quantum in environmental policy. Ultimately, what is sought is a predictive capacity for planning and evaluation.

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